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What’s Making our Weather so Fickle and Dangerous?

March 2026

Dear Friends,

March is famous for coming in like a lion and going out like a lamb, but this year, it seems we got the whole menagerie. On the heels of a winter of extremes that wreaked havoc on economies all across the country, March was in a category by itself, with a heatwave of such intensity, severity, and geographical reach that more than 1,500 daily heat records were shattered. Some meteorologists went so far as to say it was without precedent. 

What’s making our weather so fickle and dangerous?

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 2025 State of the Global Climate gives a clear clue to what is going on:

Humans are throwing the Earth’s energy balance out of whack.

In the past, much more of the energy coming from the sun and hitting the Earth’s surface bounced back out to space. But now that humans have added many more greenhouse gases to our atmosphere through activities like burning fossil fuels, more energy is trapped by our atmosphere and less rebounds out to space. This excess energy is stored as heat in our oceans, atmosphere, and land, creating dangerous weather patterns like more extreme drought, wildfires, rainstorms, hailstorms, and hurricanes. 

The amount of excess heat the Earth absorbed last year is absolutely mind-bending. Our oceans do the heavy lifting, absorbing about 90% of that excess. Experts have tried to help us understand the vast quantities of energy involved by contrasting the energy absorbed by our oceans with the energy created when the Hiroshima nuclear bomb exploded. Professor John Abraham of the University of Minnesota notes that the amount of energy the ocean absorbed in 2025 alone is about the same as the energy from 12 Hiroshima bombs exploding every second, or the equivalent energy of 365 million bombs exploding every year. 

And as this overabundance of greenhouse gases hurtles us rapidly toward a 2°C (3.6°F) temperature increase, we know the impacts of this increasing energy imbalance will only get more dangerous.  

So, what do we do?

Wean off fossil fuels as fast as is feasible. Invest in new technologies and processes that can power our economy more safely, or that can absorb and lock away some of this excess energy. Support scientific inquiry. Break the old energy paradigm and create something new.

Fortunately, we’re already doing that.  The transition is happening all around the world. It’s just not happening fast enough. And that is going to hurt us. 

It is no longer just about doing the “right thing” for the planet. As March’s wacky weather clearly shows, it is now about doing the right thing for our own safety and financial security. So, let’s shake off our torpor and get cracking. We all need to speed up this transition to put the world back in better balance. 

Sincerely,
Kathleen Biggins
Founder and President

Notable Quote

“The State of the Global Climate is in a state of emergency.  Planet Earth is being pushed beyond its limits. Every key climate indicator is flashing red. Humanity has just endured the 11 hottest years on record. When history repeats itself 11 times, it is no longer a coincidence. It is a call to act.”

– UN Secretary-General António Guterres, WMO 2025 State of the Global Climate report

News of  Concern

It may be near impossible to wrap our minds around the sheer quantity of heat we’re absorbing, but this fact is plain as day: in the past 10 years, our planet has warmed faster than in any decade on record. And we’re feeling that heat – the number of hours when it’s too hot outside for even the healthiest of us to do simple activities (walking the dog, for example) has doubled since 1950.

In other news this month, we were concerned to learn:

  • In March, wildfires tore through Nebraska, South Dakota, and Wyoming – unexpected areas for such blazes. Experts fear this heralds an “expanding frontier” for fire risk – with more communities in harm’s way – as well as a ferocious season this year.
  • The conflict in the Middle East is driving emissions up in the short term, as countries have burned off (or flared) higher volumes of natural gas as infrastructure is shut down or damaged. At the same time, many countries have turned back toward coal as imported natural gas costs soar. But there is hope that in the longer term, this conflict will speed adoption of clean energy, as more countries begin to view energy sovereignty – the ability to create energy in one’s own country – as the key to energy security.
  • Insurance premiums continue to ratchet up at a pace faster than inflation or incomes – and it’s hitting Americans no matter where we live, even if it’s not in a place prone to hurricanes, wildfires, or other extreme weather events. Our insurance system wasn’t designed to handle the extreme costs of climate change, so expect a lot of disruption (and continued price jumps) ahead.
  • Higher levels of carbon dioxide in the air from climate change are impacting our blood chemistry. Humans evolved when atmospheric CO2 levels were around 300 parts per million (ppm). Now levels are over 420 ppm. Breathing in those higher levels is making our bodies more acidic, and experts aren’t sure how future generations will fare.
  • After the courts overturned the Trump administration’s efforts to shut down offshore wind projects, the administration launched a new strategy – paying developers to abandon offshore wind leases and invest in oil and gas instead. The recent $1B payout to French energy giant TotalEnergies led it to abandon wind farm leases that could have powered more than a million homes in New York and North Carolina.
News of  Hope

We talk a lot about how China’s energy transition has left the U.S. in the dirt. But we have a major win to report – the U.S. now has the capacity to produce enough batteries to meet 100% of the surging energy storage demand on our grid. It’s been called “one of the fastest industrial scale-ups in recent American history,” and illustrates the power of our domestic manufacturing when it has strong policy support. Batteries are critically important for a wide range of grid services, from meeting AI electricity demand peaks to expanding renewable energy use.

                                             Derek Otway/Unsplash

We have an unexpected ally in fighting climate change – a new study shows that beavers are creating mighty carbon sinks when they dam up springs. Thanks to conservation efforts, beavers are flourishing across Europe, and their activity is creating healthy wetlands that absorb and lock away emissions.       

More optimistic news this month:

  • With weather growing wilder and weirder, we’re thankful that FEMA is back in action to help our communities become more resilient and prepare for nature’s new “normal.”
  •  About a million New York City households will benefit from clean power when a massive hydropower line spanning from Quebec to Queens comes online. This will be the longest buried transmission line in North America and is considered an engineering feat.
  • As the globe reels from the conflict in the Middle East, countries that are already transitioning to clean energy are coping better with the blow. From Germany to Nigeria to Pakistan, booms in solar and other renewables are buffering economies from some of the sting of price increases and volatility in supply chains.
  • Excitement around new forms of geothermal energy, which can provide 24/7 clean electricity and heat, continues to build, with the U.S. Department of Energy saying geothermal could potentially provide close to 9% of all our power by 2050 – up from only .2% today. This is one of the few clean technologies that garners bipartisan support – and it offers an almost seamless transition for oil and gas workers as their skills mesh with the needs of this growing field.

C-Change has been breaking the silence around climate change for more than 10 years – and this year, Hollywood is, too. Almost a third of the 2026 Oscar-nominated films mentioned climate change. Turning a spotlight on the issue by including it in modern culture can help more people recognize the problem, understand the risks, and (we hope) start talking louder about the need for climate action.   

Notable Graph

As March rushed in with its wacky weather, spring sprung up earlier than ever. According to Climate Central, spring leaves are emerging six days earlier in 88% of U.S. cities. And while these signs of spring do bring joy, they also bring longer pollen periods, disrupted animal migratory patterns, and concerns for our crops.  

 

Notable Video

In this PBS report, Climate Central’s Bernadette Woods Placky explains why the March heat dome was so remarkable. She breaks down the ramifications of those high temperatures, from the effect on our summer water supply to our increased wildfire risk and more.

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Caring About Our Planet is an Act of Stewardship and Faith

Caring About Our Planet is an Act of
Stewardship and Faith

By Don Gordon

I started C3 six years ago after the birth of my first grandson because I was concerned about what scientists were saying regarding the trajectory of a warming planet and its threat to all creation. Scientists warned that unchecked fossil fuel emissions could destabilize human civilization by the end of this century. A strong scientific consensus emerged that if global temperatures rise 2°C above pre-industrial levels, cascading effects could follow — rising seas, extreme weather, desertification, species extinction, and mass migration.

Today, with six grandkids now running around Raleigh, NC, I must update my concerns. I am no longer thinking about threats at the end of the century, but in the middle of it. Global temperatures temporarily exceeded 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels in 2024 — earlier than many scientists predicted. I once worried about the world my grandchildren would face in their 70s and 80s. Now I worry about the world they will inherit in their 30s.

As a grandfather, I care deeply about my grandchildren’s futures. As a Christian, I also care deeply about how climate change impacts all of humanity – and about humanity’s role as steward of the earth.

Scientists and journalists are describing current federal policies as contributing to “climate acceleration.” While 2024 was the hottest year on record, 2025 may be remembered as one of the most consequential environmental policy years in modern history. President Trump recently signed executive orders promoting coal production and directing federal spending to extend the life of coal-fired power plants.

After years of gradual emissions decline since 2007, early 2025 data show U.S. emissions rising approximately 1.9%, with increased coal generation playing a significant role. Perhaps the most consequential action came when the Environmental Protection Agency revoked the 2009 Endangerment Finding, which had established that greenhouse gases endanger public health and welfare. That finding formed the legal foundation for regulating emissions from vehicles and power plants. The administration argues deregulation could save $1.3 trillion. However, those projections do not include the mounting costs of extreme weather, public health burdens, infrastructure damage, or climate-driven migration.

There is some good news that offers some hope. Economic trends are also telling an important story about the future of energy. Over the past decade, the cost of solar and wind has dropped dramatically – perhaps as much as 90% – making these renewables some of the most affordable sources of electricity in many regions. At the same time, many households are experiencing rising electricity bills as aging infrastructure, extreme weather events, and increased demand strain energy systems. These trends are accelerating the transition toward cleaner energy not only for environmental reasons but also for economic ones. As markets, utilities, and governments respond to these pressures, the global energy landscape is beginning to shift in ways that were difficult to imagine just a generation ago.

Here is the bottom line: current federal policies are increasing fossil fuel production while weakening environmental safeguards and disaster preparedness. As climate pressures intensify, safety nets for vulnerable communities are being reduced.

For Christians, creation care is not a partisan issue – it is a matter of stewardship and faithfulness. From the opening chapters of Genesis, humanity is entrusted with the care of God’s creation. We are called to “till and keep” the garden, acting as stewards of a world that ultimately belongs to God. Creation care is therefore not optional for followers of Christ; it is part of our discipleship. When the earth that God declared “very good” is degraded, polluted, or destabilized, faithful stewardship calls us to respond.

Climate change also raises profound questions about how we love our neighbors. The people who contribute the least to global greenhouse gas emissions are often those who suffer the most from droughts, floods, extreme heat, and food insecurity. Around the
world – and even within our own communities – the poor, the elderly, children, and those living in vulnerable regions bear the greatest burdens from a warming climate. In the parable of the Good Samaritan, Jesus taught the way to love God is to love our neighbor, especially our vulnerable, wounded neighbors. By caring for creation and addressing climate change in a thoughtful way, we are helping our neighbors around the world, and those yet to be born, have a greater chance to flourish in God’s world. We are fulfilling the law of God. 

Don Gordon is the founder and CEO of C3 – Christians Caring for Creation, a nonprofit founded in 2020 to mobilize Christians to respond faithfully to the climate crisis. Don earned a Doctor of Ministry degree from Columbia Theological Seminary, has authored three books, and currently serves as Interim Senior Pastor at St. John’s Baptist Church in Charlotte, NC. Inspired by watching a Primer presentation, Don joined C-Change’s outreach efforts and now shares our materials with C3 subscribers.

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Fossile Fuels

Our Global Fossil Fuel System is Fragile

Our fossil fuel system is fragile.

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Kathleen Biggins on HerStory Circle Podcast: When a Storm Shatters Certainty

How One Woman Changed 23,000 Minds About Climate Change

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Let’s Stop Calling Climate a Green Risk

January 2026


Dear Friends,

Welcome to the great era of “green hushing.” It’s a mind-bending moment in the U.S. when climate change increasingly imperils our economy and well-being, but policymakers, scientists, businesses, teachers, reporters, federal agencies, and even park rangers are not supposed to talk about it. 

The Trump administration’s animus toward “all things green” – including the scientific inquiry that enables us to measure climate change and understand its scale and scope – is working to silence climate discussion and stop critical innovation that could mitigate the threat. Banks have retreated from climate-forward lending, companies no longer speak much about their decarbonization goals, clean-energy projects that promised high-paying jobs and lower energy costs are being canceled, and the U.S. is dropping out of more than 60 international organizations involved with biodiversity, conservation, and climate change. Even the Democratic party has muted its climate messaging, recognizing its longer-term focus isn’t resonating in today’s “hair on fire” political environment.  

But, unfortunately, simply “canceling” climate change won’t make it go away. 

Two reports issued in January underscore how climate change’s impacts on temperatures and ecosystems are threatening our economic and geopolitical security. 

In the first, the United Nations declared that the world is now in “water bankruptcy,” and water systems have been so compromised we cannot reverse the damage. Water systems are being stressed both by climate change – which alters rain patterns, concentrates water pollution, and leads to more frequent and severe droughts – and excessive uptake from aquifers, lakes, rivers, and reservoirs. Concerningly, already three-quarters of humanity live in water-stressed environments, and the challenge will only get greater as temperatures continue to rise. Water stress has been linked to the current unrest in Iran and to the Syrian civil war, and military leaders around the world warn that water scarcity and stress can be weaponized and can lead to increased global instability.

The second report, issued by UK’s Joint Intelligence Committee and based on information from MI5 and MI6, recognizes impending ecosystem collapse as a direct threat to national security. Climate change is turning rainforests into savannahs, coral reefs into lifeless skeletons, boreal forests into wildfire tinder, and is permanently melting critical mountain glaciers. Britain’s security forces predict these ecosystem losses across the world will drive up food insecurity, increase migration, change global weather patterns, and increase the risks of pandemics. These same threats, of course, are true for us on this side of the Atlantic (and climate threats have been named as such in our own intelligence assessments from 2009 until last year).

These security warnings are crystal clear: large-scale disruption of our natural world directly destabilizes our human world. 

So, let’s stop calling climate a green risk. Let’s recognize it for what it really is – an economic risk, a health risk, and a security risk.

And let’s start talking loudly about it.

Sincerely,
Kathleen Biggins
Founder and President

Notable Quote

“Enough critical systems around the world have crossed these [water bankruptcy] thresholds. These systems are interconnected through trade, migration, climate feedbacks, and geopolitical dependencies, so the global risk landscape is now fundamentally altered.”

– Kaveh Madani, director of the UN University’s Institute for Water, Environment, and Health

News of  Concern

After years of declining emissions, U.S. carbon pollution increased 2.4% last year, in part due to increased coal usage. Experts believe federal policies set into place in 2025 to boost fossil fuels and curtail clean energy will add to emission pressure in the future.

This push to suppress clean energy is a bigger deal than many realize. It’s not just emissions that are rising – electricity demand and prices are skyrocketing, too. Clean energy can come online in a year or two, while fossil fuel plants and nuclear plants usually take five to 10 (or more) years, respectively. So it is concerning that at a time when we need more supply immediately, almost 2,000 new power projects were canceled last year, with the vast majority (93%) of them in clean-energy generation. 

The Trump administration also announced it is shutting down one of the crown jewels of climate research – the National Center for Atmospheric Research. This lab is critically important for predicting, preparing for, and responding to severe weather. The administration’s dismantling of climate institutions and initiatives is so widespread across weather tracking and preparedness, investments in clean technologies, and federal agencies that many say it will take generations to repair.

As warming air and oceans cause Greenland’s ice to melt, access to shipping lanes is expanding and long-buried, important minerals are becoming accessible. But as nations battle over who will control that power and those dollars, we are concerned that the world will lose sight of just how important this island is to our climate and the health of our planet.   

One reason researching climate is so critical? To keep our homes safer from more frequent climate-enhanced natural disasters. Whether it’s bigger hailstones, faster-moving fires, or more intense hurricanes, our primary investments – our homes – are increasingly at peril. We can prepare ourselves better for the future if we understand the risks. Real estate buyers can now access climate risk information on every listing. However, this new input is roiling real estate markets because it can harm a seller’s ability to sell a home if climate metrics are poor. It’s another example of the pain ahead as we reckon with the reality of climate change, and begin to price it into our systems. 

Another reckoning ahead is with our growing plastic addiction. A new report projects plastic pollution is on track to grow by an astounding 58% by 2040: if global plastic pollution were a country, it would be the world’s third-largest emitter. Plastic is a double whammy of climate woes – made from petroleum and produced with petroleum. It’s already clogging our waters and harming our bodies, and similarly to climate change, policymakers are struggling to deal with the problem.

And if you’re reading this while drinking a cup of coffee, we’ve learned that our beloved joe may taste very different in the near future. As climate change damages coffee forests, Brazilian farmers are moving away from smooth arabica beans to more bitter robusta beans, which are more heat and disease resistant.

Finally, it’s when the impacts of climate change hit home that we really begin to understand the threat. This poignant story of a Christmas village in Washington State shows just how fragile we are. Besieged by fire, storms, and power outages, this small mountain town that relies on tourism is scrambling to pick up the pieces from a holiday season that wasn’t. It’s a heartbreaker. 

News of  Hope

While clean-energy development is hitting headwinds in the U.S., it’s soaring globally. Some important milestones achieved in 2025:

The world produced more electricity from renewable sources than from coal.
The EU produced more electricity from wind and solar than all fossil fuels combined. 

In both China and India, the world’s largest and third-largest greenhouse gas emitters respectively, coal-powered electricity generation dropped due to the rapid growth of renewables.More than 25% of all new cars purchased were electric, and sales are rising rapidly because they are now cheaper than combustion engine cars in emerging markets.

The global renewables boom is pushing investment in the cleantech sector to new heights. And it’s happening in places you might not expect. Saudi Arabia is deploying solar energy at the fastest rate in the world, on pace to generate 50% of its electricity with clean power within five years. 

In the U.S., batteries are growing at astounding rates. This is a game-changer. During sunny and windy periods, we often produce an excess of cheap, clean energy and have to throw it away. With batteries, we can save that extra energy and use it at peak times after the sun has set, displacing more expensive and emission-intensive fossil fuels.

The renewables and batteries we’ve added are also making our grids more reliable – including helping us meet climate-enhanced winter storm challenges. Experts especially noted that Texas’s grid – with its expanded use of batteries and weatherization of fossil resources – bore the strain of the monster January storm that swept the country, in contrast to a 2021 storm when that grid was more heavily dependent on fossil fuels resources. 

The Mid-Atlantic and Northeast corridors received good news this month on resiliency as well. Judges allowed offshore wind development to get back on track at several projects that had been stopped mid-stream last year. Offshore wind peaks in winter, which should help strengthen the grid in future winter storms, and it also can lower our costs during cold weather when our higher-priced natural gas supply is stretched due to heating and electricity demands. 

In North Carolina, small mountain towns that were battered by hurricanes in 2024 are not just adapting their infrastructure, they’re re-envisioning their resilience, building microgrids, adding batteries, and thinking of new ways to stay safe from the next storm. 

And in the southernmost part of the world, glaciologists are re-envisioning our future by protecting our ability to look to the past. Glaciologists fear ice cores – one of our most important lenses into the Earth’s history – will melt away. So they are building an ice storage vault in Antarctica to enable future scientists to study the ice. It’s an important reminder of how quickly nature is changing around us, and of our need to protect critical resources.

Notable Graph

Science magazine named the renewable energy surge as its “2025 Breakthrough of the Year.” This chart shows the astounding growth of installed capacity that has been driven by falling prices of solar and other renewable sources. 

Notable Video

Ice, snow, polar vortex – they’re all connected to climate change, and they merged Jan. 23-25 to sweep the country in a major winter storm. This Climate Central video provides a terrific explanation of how warming global temperatures impact cold weather events.

C-Change Conversations helps people understand the science and risks of climate change and why it matters in daily life.

We frame climate change as a human and community issue – not a political one – and discuss its impacts on our jobs and economy, our health and safety, and our geopolitical stability, as well as the solutions that offer us a safer future.

C-Change seeks to bring everyone to the table for shared understanding about climate change. You can be a part of the conversation by sharing this newsletter with family, friends, and colleagues and by inviting us to talk to your community. 

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Weatherizing Your Home: a Win-Win for the Climate and your Wallet

B-Change: Weatherizing your home is a

win-win for climate and wallet

By Karen Dougherty

Has anyone else noticed their energy bills creeping up? In some parts of the country the increases are downright alarming. What if you could lower those bills and help tackle climate change at the same time? If that sounds appealing, read on.
 
For nearly all of us, keeping our homes comfortable requires energy. Despite relocating from the Northeast to the Southeast to escape the unforgiving winters, I still run my heat a lot this time of year. Energy use creates emissions, and for most households, our biggest energy hogs are heating and air conditioning. Even for those of us using electric heat pumps, the electricity often still comes from a grid that relies on fossil fuels.
 
Reducing energy use at home does double duty: it cuts expenses and it reduces heat-trapping emissions. That’s a win most of us can get behind.
 
So how can we stay cozy without cranking the heat or AC? In a word: weatherizing.
 
Weatherizing our homes is a surprisingly effective climate solution. And it’s a cost-effective one, too. Best of all, it makes an immediate impact. Don’t own your home? No problem. Most of these tips still apply to renters. The two main strategies are simple: seal and insulate. Here are a few places to start:
 
Seal
 
Air leaks are sneaky, but fixing them can make a noticeable difference.

  • Caulk and weatherstrip around windows, doors, and trim.
  • Check for gaps around dryer vents, plumbing, attic access points, and electrical outlets (foam gaskets are cheap and easy to install).
  • If daylight peeks in around your door, a door sweep or fresh weatherstripping usually does the trick.
  • Don’t forget your attic. Seal it like the rest of your home.

Insulate
 
Seal first, but insulation is where the real savings happen.

  • Attics are priority #1. Heat loves to escape upward, so adding insulation here is often the biggest bang for your buck. There are several options to choose from based on your specific situation.
  • In basements or crawlspaces, consider adding rigid foam or spray foam insulation.
  • Insulate your water heater and hot water pipes.
  • Walls are tougher to DIY, but blown-in cellulose can make a big difference in older homes.
  • Take stock of your windows. Thermal curtains or cellular shades really help. In colder months, open shades on south-facing shades during the day and close them at night (reverse this in summer). Applying window film is also surprisingly helpful at cutting winter drafts.
  • If your windows are ancient and leaky, consider replacing them with double-pane. This is a pricey decision, so you can try insulating first if you’re not ready to invest (or if you are living in a rental).

For those who want to be thorough, you might consider a professional home energy audit. This would give you a comprehensive assessment of where you are using and losing energy in your home along with a plan to make changes.

If you’ve been following this B-Change blog, you may have noticed a recurring theme: many of the actions we can take to help reduce the effects of climate change also make our lives better. I call those win-wins. Why not give a few a try and see for yourself?
 
In addition to volunteering for C-Change, Karen blogs about climate change at unheating.com

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November/December 2025

 

Dear Friends

At a time of year when we come together with friends and family, our thoughts turn to the importance of hearth and home. Our homes are so much more than four walls: they are the place where family memories are created and community is built. They are also usually our biggest purchase and our most important financial asset. That’s why it is critically important we protect our homes from climate change’s physical and economic damages.

Many people know that climate change can harm our homes in a wide variety of ways: from longer and hotter heatwaves, torrential rainstorms, more powerful hurricanes, fiercer wildfires, stronger windstorms, bigger hailstones, and higher sea surges in coastline communities.

But many don’t realize that these physical challenges are putting pressure on our insurance system, and that fact is beginning to impact the value of our homes and other investments. Insurance only works if the costs are high enough to reward the insurance company for taking the risk and low enough to be acceptable for a wide swath of policyholders. In many markets, we are crossing that threshold – insurance companies deem the risks too high because of climate change and policyowners across the country are finding themselves shut out of the market or paying through-the-roof premiums.

This is clearly bad news for individual homeowners and for vulnerable communities but also has worrisome implications for our whole economy. Insurance anchors many of our investment systems. As insurance becomes too expensive or unavailable, home values decline. As home values decline, other financial markets, like mortgage-backed securities and municipal bonds, can also be negatively impacted. On top of that, without insurance, banks cannot make long-term loans.

This snowball effect is creating a serious threat – the Federal Reserve chair has already warned that in the next 10-15 years, many climate-vulnerable areas may be uninsurable and bank loans and mortgages unavailable.

To meet the challenge, we will need to spend more on hardening our homes and infrastructure and face the heartbreaking decision of letting some communities go. The longer we wait, the harder it gets. The sooner we act, the safer – and more financially secure – we will be.

Sincerely,
Kathleen Biggins
Founder and President

Notable Quote

“Homeowners don’t appreciate or don’t understand that we are living in a much riskier world than we were 25 years ago. And that risk? They have to pay for it.” 

– Benjamin Keys, PhD, professor of real estate, Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania 
 
News of Concern

As we prepare for climate change’s long-term threats to our homes, we also have to meet a looming short-term threat: keeping our heat and lights on this winter. As skyrocketing demand from new AI data centers strains our antiquated, fragmented grid, utilities and companies are scrambling to secure enough energy sources.

The Trump administration has reacted by supporting coal plants and old nuclear plants running past closure dates, expanding offshore oil and gas drilling, establishing new natural gas pipelines and plants on the grid and as stand-alone units at production centers. We should note, there is bipartisan support for new nuclear and geothermal power – two important clean-energy sources that hold significant promise. While we desperately need more energy supply on our grid, our choices today have repercussions for the world we will have tomorrow. We need to be charting a path that protects both.

At the same time the federal government is pushing to amp up offshore oil and gas drilling – something even conservative lawmakers are wary of – the administration also wants to weaken EPA protection of our rivers and wetlands. Not only are these bodies of water critical for clean drinking water, wetlands are a major carbon sink, sequestering carbon dioxide 10 times faster and up to five times more than tropical forests.

 

The link between climate change and water may be even tighter than many realize. The warming temperatures are causing massive glacier melt – with a recent study showing one glacier in Antarctica, Hektoria, receded five miles in two months, losing half its ice at a rate that shocked scientists and has worrisome implications for accelerating sea level rise. And at the same time, glaciers in mountainous areas like the Alps and Himalayas are melting rapidly, creating hazards for mountain towns that are being washed away by the glacier melt. As deadly as these glacial floods are, they are a prologue to a much bigger looming threat. Glaciers are the “water cooler” for many countries. Every year, billions of people downstream harvest glacial melt for drinking water, agriculture, and manufacturing. What will happen to water resources when the glaciers fully melt away?

Climate change is affecting every single one of us – yet we seem unable to chart a safe course to lower emissions quickly enough to stay at safe levels. We are at the cusp of crossing the 1.5°C threshold where scientists warn natural systems will change more radically. For the moment, it feels as if fossil fuel interests are winning the day – COP30, the annual UN climate summit that was held last month, ended with a whimper, without even a mention of weaning off of fossil fuels, a retreat from past years’ promises to “transition away from fossil fuels.” 

Our foot dragging has real-world repercussions. The United Nations’ Refugee Agency reports about 250 million people have already been displaced due to weather-related disasters in the past decade. Humanitarian agencies are struggling to keep up (their efforts are also hampered by climate-related issues like supply chain backlogs and damaged infrastructure) and countries are ill-prepared to handle the sheer numbers of refugees, let alone the conflict that arises with such massive migration. And since we know that weather disruptions will get much worse as temperatures continue to rise, we expect migration pressures will ratchet up in the future.

 
News of Hope
Despite President Trump’s championing of fossil fuels, the U.S. is still installing clean energy at a rapid clip. Renewables are projected to deliver 84% of all new electricity additions through mid-2028. Thanks to a reshoring of manufacturing, we now create all parts of the solar supply chain right here at home – giving us greater independence and energy security. And a massive amount of battery storage (three times more than we currently have) is projected by 2030. Batteries are critically important in stabilizing the grid, and they enable renewables to pick up a larger part of our electricity mix. 
 
As the U.S. sees a surge in demand for electricity, that need is spurring innovations like networks of home batteries that can both help stabilize the grid and drive down consumer costs. In Texas, for example, one energy startup has created a model in which customers lease in-home batteries to collect surplus energy that they sell back during periods of peak demand. This “virtual power plant” arrangement is a win for the customer and the utility.
 
Another potential energy hero? Offshore wind. A recent study shows offshore wind is well-suited to meet our electricity needs in cold weather, which is a time of year that natural gas most often fails due to supply chain issues. That’s because we use natural gas for heating and electricity during those months – and much of our gas infrastructure is not winterized. Interestingly, offshore wind also peaks in the morning and evening hours, when energy demand surges as people turn on their heat. It’s a simple tradeoff. If the administration continues to curtail new offshore projects, costs will go up, and energy security will be compromised.
 
And, importantly, many of the world’s fastest-growing economies are pivoting to renewables and batteries for larger portions of their energy mix. Because China – the world’s “renewable energy superpower” – has made cleantech so cheap, developing countries like India, Nigeria, Morocco, Turkey, and Vietnam are beginning to prioritize renewables over fossil fuels for their economic development. The fact that this shift is  being driven by economics and energy security rather than climate concerns  is actually good news.
 
Speaking of good news, we’d like to tip our hat to our friends Down Under. Australia is rapidly decarbonizing its grid and continues to think outside the box. In a novel move, the country is giving away three hours of energy – for free! – allowing households in parts of the country to run energy-hungry appliances and charge cars at no cost during peak solar hours.
 
Moving the dial on climate change means holding our governments accountable for their actions. A precedent-setting ruling by the European Court of Human Rights may help – it declared that governments must assess the global climate impact of new fossil fuel projects before allowing new drilling fields to open. It’s an important step toward protecting our climate and the health of our planet.
 
Finally, there’s been much buzz over AI and its negative impact on our climate, from the energy and water it guzzles to the emissions it creates. But there’s a climate upside to AI, too. It can help us identify the best places to build geothermal plants, show us how to speed up our quest to create energy through fusion, and create plans that help businesses of all sizes pollute less and use energy more efficiently. While AI poses real challenges to our energy systems, we shouldn’t forget it can accelerate solutions as well.
 
Notable Graph

Economic experts say there’s no ambiguity here – without wind and solar, the U.S. is unlikely to meet our power needs. That reality is driving investment and business interests, even as the Trump administration’s focus is on increasing fossil fuel use. Read more here.

Notable Video

 Source: Civil Mentors, YouTube

Could Saudi Arabia transform from a scorching desert to a green oasis? The country’s ambitious plan would significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions and lower temperatures in one of the hottest regions of the world. Let’s see whether this dream evolves into reality.

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Gates 250

Bill Gates’ Climate Message Shouldn’t Cloud the Facts

 

By Kathleen Biggins

Did you hear the news? Climate concern is dead! No need to worry, because the Tech Titans have it in hand and the issue will be solved in a decade. New tech has already bludgeoned our emissions trajectory into submission, and we are now on a relatively safe path! Humanity is going to be fine!

At least that’s what conservative pundits and politicians gleefully wrote about Bill Gates’ letter to COP30 negotiators. Gates wrote that while climate change is a “serious problem,” it is not the inevitable end of civilization and that we should set targets that ensure human health and economic prosperity versus setting temperature targets such as staying below a 2 degrees C increase. He noted doomsday messaging can turn people off, and technology holds great promise. 

Damage in Jamaica from Hurricane Melissa (Pan American Health Organization, CC BY-NC-ND 4.0, via flickr)
Hurricane Melissa was a a climate-infused Category 5 storm when it battered Jamaica. (Pan American Health Organization, CC BY-NC-ND 4.0, via flickr)

The letter set off a firestorm. Deniers are heralding it as proof that climate worry is inane, while scientists and climate communicators are lambasting it as underrepresenting the risks and providing fodder for deniers. Others believe Gates was “ponying up” to the administration, throwing climate change under the bus to try to protect funding for antipoverty and health initiatives. 

Poignantly, on the same day that Gates published his letter and the blogosphere started to erupt, a climate-infused Category 5 hurricane battered Jamaica, with early reports indicating 30% of the country’s GDP has been obliterated. Just a few days later, Vietnam experienced an unprecedented rainfall – 5.6 feet in 24 hours – that caused widespread flooding, deaths and agricultural loss.  

While we sit here arguing about how to think and talk about climate change, nature is continuing to do her new dance – jiving outside the lines that we have always thought constrained her. And whether it ends civilization as we know it or just makes life incredibly hard for future generations, it’s not going to be good.  

Let’s look at some basic facts: 

  1. This trajectory is NOT safe

Bill Gates notes we are on a trajectory for our average global temperature to increase 5.22 degrees F (2.9 degrees C) by century’s end. That 5.22 degrees F increase is an average of land and sea temperatures, so it’s going to be a lot hotter than that on land, which means a large chunk of our country will feel like living in Saudi Arabia.  

It also means that in the not distant future, swaths of our country will be too hot and humid for even the healthiest of humans to be safely outside for long periods of time. That is probably going to crimp fall football – and it’s not great for farming, construction, forestry, or the safety of our police and soldiers who work outside, either.

The oceans will get very hot, too, with tropical water temperatures projected to migrate up to Georgia by century’s end, and to Boston by the end of the next century. These rapid and extreme temperature swings will make it harder for many species – including our own – to thrive. 

  1. The pain is just beginning 
Phoenix experienced 113 consecutive days of 100 degrees or higher in 2024. (Ray Redstone, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons)
Phoenix experienced 113 consecutive days of 100 degrees or higher in 2024. (Ray Redstone, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons)

Scientists have warned for decades that crossing the 1.5 degrees C increase was a critical point – beyond it, climate impacts will get much worse. So the impacts we are living with now – rising oceans washing away beach homes; intense rains inundating “safe” mountainous places like Asheville, North Carolina; Phoenix’s 113 consecutive days of 100 degrees or higher in 2024 – are really just an “amuse bouche,” a taste of what’s to come as we push nature out of the norms we’ve always known. 

  1. Tipping points are real and irreversible 

Neither the pundits nor Bill Gates’ letter acknowledge the real risks of crossing tipping points – significant changes in our natural world on a grand global scale that cannot be reversed. Which should we be the least concerned about?  Lifeless skeletal coral reefs in the tropics? Rapidly melting glaciers and ice sheets (5 miles in 2 months in Antarctica)? The Amazon rainforest – the “lungs of the world” – turning into savanna? 

  1. Older technologies are the climate heroes  

Solar and wind – not the shiny new stuff of Bill Gates’ dreams – are a big reason our emissions trajectory is down. Since the Paris Agreement in 2015, we’ve flattened our emissions trajectory, potentially lowering our future warming by almost 2 degrees F.

Wind, solar and batteries are the chief workhorses, picking up almost all new energy demand globally and bringing savings and more energy independence to those who adopt these technologies. As of this year, humanity will get more electricity from renewables than from coal. Even Texas, the nation’s fossil fuel mecca, is now powering its economy on 40% renewables, crediting solar and batteries for keeping the air-conditioning humming during its brutal summer heatwaves.

Renewables are growing exponentially because they tap into unlimited power sources, can be produced locally and are more affordable than fossil fuels. And they are also proving to be quite reliable. California added so much new renewable capacity last year that it ran its economy on 100% renewables for 132 days in 2024 without a single grid failure. It also is significantly lowering electricity generation costs – an important goal because the wildfire mitigation and infrastructure investment that are necessary due to climate change are driving energy distribution costs up.  

  1. Shiny stuff does hold promise – but we’re not there yet

There is much to get excited about – including geothermal, fusion and new types of storage – but are we ready to bet the farm (aka our planet) on it? And those technologies cannot be built fast enough to make a difference NOW, when energy demand is burgeoning due to AI and data centers and fossil fuels plants are coming back in vogue in the United States.

We need smart policy and investment to get the shiny stuff tested and scaled, but we also need more of what’s already working. We don’t need our government picking “winners and losers” – to borrow a phrase – and preventing the build-out of the cheapest and most abundant energy technologies we have, especially at a time when prices are skyrocketing.

Kathleen Biggins

Climate change makes it harder for all of us to stay safe, healthy and economically secure. We need a stable climate in order to have prosperous, healthy communities. Our “human systems” (agriculture, finance, insurance, water management, health care, urban planning and construction) all depend on predictable norms of how the natural world works – how hot and cold it will get, how much rain will fall, how strong storms will be, how crops will grow, what diseases we face. And that foundation is critical not just for the impoverished (Gates’ main concern) but for all of us on the planet. 

Conservative pundits who disparage climate action are using Gates’ letter to inflame their base and drive up readership. But in doing so, they are telling vulnerable people not to worry – and not to prepare.

We all know it’s wrong to shout “fire” in a movie theater when there is no danger. What about the opposite? With heat and smoke filling the theater, these misguided pundits – and Mr. Gates – are telling their readers to sit down and enjoy the show.  

Kathleen Biggins is the founder and president of C-Change Conversations, a nonprofit organization dedicated to promoting productive, nonpartisan discussions about the science and effects of climate change.

Banner photo: Bill Gates takes part in a panel at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, in January 2024 (Republic of Colombia, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons).

This is a repost of a blog published in The Invading Sea newsletter.

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